Israel Assesses Potential War with Iran Could Last Months, Testing U.S. Resolve

Israeli intelligence assessments indicate that a potential military conflict with Iran could last several months, posing significant strategic and political challenges for the United States under President Trump. The extended timeline would test U.S. resolve and commitment to supporting Israel, potentially straining bilateral relations and regional stability. The assessment comes amid heightened tensions over Iran's nuclear program and proxy activities in the Middle East. Israeli officials have reportedly shared these projections with U.S. counterparts, emphasizing the need for sustained military and diplomatic backing. The conflict could involve multiple fronts, including Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria, drawing in Iranian-backed militias. The prolonged nature of such a war would also impact global oil markets and energy security, given Iran's role as a major oil producer.

Global Impact

Economically, a prolonged Israel-Iran conflict would disrupt global oil supply chains, spiking crude prices and inflationary pressures, particularly for net importers like India and Japan. Politically, it would test U.S. alliance credibility in the Middle East, potentially reshaping Trump's foreign policy legacy and domestic support.